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Prime Minister Mark Carney and his Liberal Party have secured a projected victory in Canada’s 2025 national election, according to the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, in a result shaped heavily by President Donald Trump’s combative stance toward America’s northern neighbor.
While it remains uncertain whether the Liberals will form a majority government, the CBC projection marks a significant comeback for the party, which had trailed the Conservative opposition for months. The win represents a vote of confidence in Carney’s leadership and a sharp rebuke to Trump’s inflammatory rhetoric.
“President Trump is trying to break us, so that America can own us,” Carney told supporters in Ottawa early Tuesday. “That will never, ever happen.”
Carney, 60, a former governor of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, has never held elected office before. He became Liberal leader just last month and quickly called a snap election in an effort to secure a full term. His campaign emphasized economic resilience and national sovereignty amid what he called an “American betrayal.”
“Our world has fundamentally changed,” Carney said. “The old relationship with the United States is over. We must now look out for ourselves.”
Trump, now back in the White House, has repeatedly agitated Canadian voters with statements suggesting Canada should become the “51st U.S. state.” On Election Day, he posted on his Truth Social platform: “ALL POSITIVES WITH NO NEGATIVES. IT WAS MEANT TO BE!”
Those comments, along with Trump’s sweeping tariffs on Canadian goods and erratic diplomacy, became a rallying point for Liberal voters and an albatross for Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, whose populist style had drawn comparisons to Trump.
“President Trump, stay out of our election,” Poilievre posted Monday, distancing himself from the former president. But the damage was already done.
“I voted Liberal because Poilievre sounds like mini-Trump to me,” Toronto voter Reid Warren told the Associated Press. “Tariffs were also a big concern.”
The result reflects growing unease among Canadians about Trump’s influence and a renewed commitment to protecting Canadian sovereignty.
As Carney takes office, U.S.-Canada relations appear headed for a new era of distance and defiance.
